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Mizuho said shifting Fed expectations may matter more for Circle’s valuation multiple than for near-term revenue.
SEC Chair Paul Atkins and CFTC Chair Michael Selig addressed market structure, prediction markets and perpetual futures at a Tuesday event.
Hours after explosions were reported in Tehran, digital money began moving. Reports say cryptocurrency withdrawals from Iran’s largest exchange jumped sharply as news of US and Israeli airstrikes spread across the country. Related Reading: Crypto’s Quietest Month In Nearly A Year — But Hackers Haven’t Gone Away Blockchain data reviewed by analytics firms shows outflows rising about 700% in a short window, a spike that stood out against normal daily activity. Crypto Rush Follows Airstrikes According to blockchain tracking firm Elliptic, wallets linked to Nobitex, Iran’s biggest crypto trading platform, sent out far more funds than usual within minutes of the first strike. In less than an hour, transfers climbed into the millions of dollars. The surge was quick. It was also brief. The timing caught attention. Based on reports, the jump began almost immediately after confirmation of military action. Digital assets were shifted to external wallets and, in some cases, to overseas exchanges. For many Iranians who already face sanctions and banking limits, crypto has become one of the few ways to move value across borders. Nobitex has long operated in a gray zone shaped by sanctions and capital controls. Crypto use in the country has grown over the years as access to global finance tightened. During past waves of unrest, similar patterns were recorded, though not always at this scale. Internet Blackout Slows The Flow The rush did not last. Reports note that internet connectivity across Iran dropped by about 99% shortly after the strikes, limiting further transfers. With connections cut or heavily restricted, the stream of outgoing crypto transactions slowed to a trickle. TRM Labs, another blockchain analytics firm, said the spike may reflect short-term panic rather than an organized effort to move large pools of capital. A sharp move from a low base can look dramatic in percentage terms. Some transactions were completed before the blackout. Others appear to have stalled. Transfers can be initiated quickly, but they still depend on access to the internet and functioning platforms. When connectivity disappears, so does that option. Weakened Currency Iran’s economy has been under strain for years. Sanctions tied to its nuclear program and regional policies have limited trade and weakened the national currency. Crypto mining and trading, at times tolerated and at other times restricted, have offered an alternative path for some citizens and businesses. Related Reading: Wall Street Giant JPMorgan Sees Clarity Act Driving Second-Half Upside There has been no public sign that the spike altered broader crypto prices. Bitcoin and other major tokens reacted more to global risk sentiment than to activity inside Iran alone. Still, the 700% surge serves as another example of how quickly digital money can respond to geopolitical shocks. For a few tense hours, crypto became a lifeline for some users in Iran. Then the cables went dark, and the flow slowed. Featured ima
War is burning across the Middle East. Oil prices are climbing. Stock markets in Asia have taken a hit. And yet, Bitcoin is still standing above $66,000 — a fact that has caught the attention of analysts keeping a close eye on the market. Related Reading: Crypto’s Quietest Month In Nearly A Year — But Hackers Haven’t Gone Away Calm Where There Should Be Panic The group most closely watched during moments of market stress is what analysts call short-term holders — people who bought Bitcoin recently and are most likely to sell fast when things go wrong. Based on reports from on-chain data platform CryptoQuant, that group has stayed unusually quiet. When Bitcoin slipped into the $63,000 to $64,000 range on Feb. 28, exchange inflows from recent buyers barely moved. No major wave of selling followed. No spike in coins being rushed to exchanges at a loss. That was not the case earlier in February. Reports say that on Feb. 5-6, short-term holders sent 89,000 BTC to exchanges at a loss within a single 24-hour window. It was a clear panic event. Since then, those kinds of loss-driven transfers have been falling steadily — and the Iran escalation did not reverse that trend. CryptoQuant analyst Moreno, who tracked the data, says this matters because markets tend to find their footing once the most nervous sellers have already exited. If exchange inflows from short-term holders remain low, it could point to seller exhaustion and set the stage for a price recovery. A sudden jump in those inflows, however, would suggest the selling is not done. What History Says About War And Bitcoin This is not the first time Bitcoin has been tested by armed conflict. According to market analyst Ted Pillows, the pattern has played out twice before. When Russia launched its invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, Bitcoin dropped — then surged 40%. When Israel struck Iran in June 2025, Bitcoin dipped again before gaining 25%. Feb 2022: Russia attacked Ukraine. ▫️ $BTC dumped first and then rallied 40%. June 2025: Israel attacked Iran. ▫️ Bitcoin dumped first and then rallied 25%. Feb 2026: US attacked Iran. Will a similar pattern follow again? pic.twitter.com/b8FLF4aR9p — Ted (@TedPillows) February 28, 2026 Now, following joint US-Israeli strikes on Iran in February 2026, Bitcoin has once again pulled back. Pillows is now asking whether that same rebound pattern could follow a third time. The current conflict is far larger than those earlier flashpoints. Reports say US-Israeli forces struck more than 2,000 targets across 131 Iranian cities and provinces, hitting nuclear sites, missile systems, and senior military figures, including Iran’s Supreme Leader. Related Reading: Wall Street Giant JPMorgan Sees Clarity Act Driving Second-Half Upside Bitcoin Price Action Iran fired back with missiles and drones aimed at Israel, US bases, and multiple Gulf states. The war has dragged in Lebanon, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, the UAE, Cyprus, and a UK military base. Bitcoin has dropped 3.5%
The approval lets Kraken speed up deposits and withdrawals for large traders and institutional clients, but is limited.
MARA Holdings, one of the largest Bitcoin (BTC) mining companies in the world, has signaled a major shift in strategy that could have significant implications for the broader BTC market. In a recent filing with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), the company disclosed an update to its treasury policy that would allow it to sell Bitcoin from its balance sheet — a notable departure from its long-standing commitment to holding the asset as a long-term investment. Bitcoin Miner MARA May Sell Reserves Under the new policy, MARA is no longer strictly committed to retaining all of the Bitcoin it mines. Instead, it has opened the door to potentially liquidating part or even all of its holdings if circumstances require it. MARA currently holds 53,822 BTC, making it the second-largest publicly traded corporate holder of Bitcoin, according to data from BitcoinTreasuries.net. At current market prices, the company’s reserves are valued at approximately $3.59 billion. Only Michael Saylor’s Strategy — formerly known as MicroStrategy — holds more, with over 720,000 BTC. Related Reading: Bitcoin Prints Fifth Straight Red Month; Previous Streak Was Followed By 300% Surge In its filing, MARA acknowledged that prolonged weakness in Bitcoin’s price could materially affect its financial position. If the price remains depressed or declines further, the value of its holdings could fall significantly, weighing on its balance sheet and liquidity. Because Bitcoin mining represents the company’s primary source of revenue, extended price declines could make it increasingly difficult to cover operational costs, meet debt obligations, or fund strategic initiatives. The company also pointed to upcoming financial obligations, including the potential need to repurchase outstanding convertible senior notes in 2027. Meeting such obligations would require substantial cash resources. Under those circumstances — including liquidity pressures or adverse market conditions — MARA said it may decide to sell a portion or the entirety of its Bitcoin reserves. Potential ‘Supply Bomb’ Looms Market analyst Shanaka Anslem offered a detailed breakdown of the company’s current challenges. According to Anslem, MARA’s production cost now stands at approximately $87,000 per Bitcoin, while the asset is trading around $66,690. That gap means the company is effectively losing money on each block it mines. At the same time, hashprice — a key measure of mining profitability — has dropped to a record low of $35 per petahash. Anslem also highlighted MARA’s 2025 open-market purchases. During that year, the company acquired 4,267 BTC at an average price of $111,034 per coin. With current prices significantly lower, those purchases are now roughly 38% underwater. Related Reading: CME Capitalizes On ADA, XLM, LINK In Crypto Strategy: Key Figures Exposed Looking ahead, Anslem suggested that blockchain data will provide critical clues about whether MARA’s policy shift translates into actual s
A new Bitcoin death cross would ensure continuation of the bear market unless a "major bullish catalyst" appears, per new BTC price analysis.
Coming as BTC exchange-traded funds flows turn positive, the moves follow the Wall Street bank's applications with the SEC for Bitcoin, Solana, and Ethereum funds.
A slowdown in profit-taking and defending the 200-week EMA support at $68,000 are prerequisites for BTC to break the next big hurdle at $75,000.
Bitcoin Magazine Strategy (MSTR), Coinbase (COIN) Surge as Bitcoin Pumps Near $73,000 Shares of Strategy, Inc. (MSTR) and Coinbase (COIN) jumped on Wednesday, marking a sharp rebound for the Bitcoin proxies after months of losses. This post Strategy (MSTR), Coinbase (COIN) Surge as Bitcoin Pumps Near $73,000 first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.
Korea's tech-heavy Kospi has plunged 20% in the last two trading sessions, potentially pushing that country's fast-money chasing traders back into crypto.
Bitcoin climbed back above $71,000 on Wednesday, reaching its highest level since February 8, even as broader geopolitical risk remained elevated. The move appears to have been triggered by a sudden shift in macro sentiment around Iran, but market structure inside crypto had already left BTC primed for a sharp reversal. Why Is The Bitcoin Price Up Today? The immediate catalyst came from a report cited by The Kobeissi Letter, which said the New York Times had reported that Iran made a “secret” offer to the US to negotiate an end to the war. According to Kobeissi, the proposed framework included Iran abandoning or sharply curtailing its ballistic missile and nuclear programs, as well as reducing support for proxy groups, while President Donald Trump had “suggested” Iran’s surviving leaders could remain in power under a so-called “Venezuela model.” Related Reading: Bitcoin To $11 Million By 2036? This AI-Deflation Thesis Is Turning Heads Kobeissi added that “it remains unclear if a deal is feasible at this point in time,” but the timing matched a rapid risk-on reaction across US stock futures markets as well as Bitcoin. That macro headline helps explain the spark. It does not fully explain why Bitcoin reacted more forcefully than stocks and gold. For that, the positioning backdrop matters. BREAKING: US stock market futures surge as the New York Times reports that Iran made a “secret” offer to the US to negotiate a deal to end the war. Potential terms include: 1. Iran to abandon or drastically curtail its ballistic missile and nuclear programs 2. Iran to abandon… https://t.co/IsF3saWl1A — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) March 4, 2026 Vetle Lunde, head of research at K33 Research, argued that Bitcoin entered the latest week in an unusually compressed state after months of persistent weakness. “Bitcoin entered the weekend heavily oversold, heavily shorted, and significantly underowned,” Lunde wrote. “First and foremost, the context for BTC ahead of the war in Iran is wildly different from other asset classes. Bitcoin had fallen 50% after five continuous months of downside. The weekly RSI fell to its third lowest reading ever, meaning BTC entered the week uniquely oversold.” In other words, Bitcoin was not coming into the geopolitical shock from a position of strength. It was coming in after a deep washout. Lunde also noted that institutional exposure had already been cut back materially, with spot ETFs seeing outflows of nearly 100,000 BTC and notional CME open interest falling 30% from October levels. That matters because investors most likely to use BTC as a hedge against uncertainty had, in his view, already reduced exposure, loosening the asset’s correlation to traditional macro trades. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sentiment On Wall Street Has Turned Negative, Galaxy’s Thorn Says Inside derivatives, the setup looked even more asymmetric. Lunde said perpetual funding rates had been unusually low and that traders had spent much of February paying a
Paraguay’s state‑owned electricity monopoly, Administración Nacional de Electricidad (ANDE), has signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) with infrastructure firm Morphware to launch a government‑run Bitcoin mining program powered by thousands of confiscated mining machines and surplus hydroelectric power. Related Reading: Bitcoin Slides Again as Iran War Jitters Hit BTC, Risk Assets What Does This Entail? In a first‑of‑its‑kind move, Paraguay state power company is about to become a Bitcoin miner. ANDE has signed a formal agreement with Morphware to to build a state‑run mining program that uses two things the country already has in abundance: seized mining rigs and cheap hydroelectric power from the Itaipú dam. In practice, ANDE will host and own the mining operations. Instead of exporting that energy at low, treaty‑defined prices, the utility will route part of it into Bitcoin mining facilities it controls. Morphware will act as a technical advisor rather than a speculative partner: according to Morphware founder and CEO Kenso Trabing, because ANDE has no experience mining Bitcoin, the company’s role will be “an advisory one. The pilot phase will plug in about 1,500 seized miners at existing utility buildings located next to substations, which can be converted into basic mining facilities with ventilation, transformers, distribution units, and proper metering. Related Reading: Next “Binance Killer”? Hyperliquid Now Dominates DeFi Derivatives, New Report Shows Seizing Background This decision follows a series of nationwide raids since early 2024, as ANDE moved against unmetered and fraudulent high‑voltage connections used by illegal miners. Most of the machines going into this program were seized between May and June 2024, when authorities intensified inspections in mining hotspots. In Salto del Guairá alone, ANDE confiscated 2,738 mining rigs after detecting an unmetered high‑load connection worth roughly 1.1 billion guaraníes (around 146,000 dollars) in stolen power every month, alongside dozens of similar operations that pushed the total stockpile of seized ASICs close to 30,000 units. Another State Turning To Bitcoin Paraguay’s move slots into a small but growing group of states that appear to be trying to turn energy policy into hash rate. El Salvador has already folded Bitcoin into its official toolkit, pointing geothermal power from state‑run plants into mining facilities and adding those coins to a government‑controlled BTC stockpile alongside its “volcano bond” ambitions, as reported by our sister website Bitcoinist. Further east, Bhutan’s sovereign wealth fund has quietly operated hydro‑powered mining since at least 2019, using surplus electricity from its dams to accumulate Bitcoin on the kingdom’s balance sheet and, more recently, to back new digital‑asset and “mindfulness city” projects. Paraguay’s ANDE–Morphware experiment is the hydro‑rich, Latin American version of that same playbook: keep the energy domestic, own the infrastr
Iran's cryptocurrency ecosystem has contracted sharply and shifted into risk containment mode in the wake of military strikes, said TRM Labs.
The offering could enable traders to bet on the stock performance of Nasdaq-100 companies such as Nvidia, Apple, Google and Tesla.
Circle’s post-earnings breakout gains continue to rise as USDC growth, policy shifts, and macro volatility converge.
U.S. BTC ETFs added $458 million, suggesting institutional buyers are absorbing the weekend shock that briefly sent BTC to $63,000.
Ben Delo paid a $10 million fine after pleading guilty to US banking violations in 2022 and was granted a pardon by President Donald Trump in March 2025.
The report is a third-party attestation, which provides a snapshot of reserves at a specific point in time, rather than a full audit of the company's finances.
Crypto analyst Amonyx recently drew attention to a CNBC video in which XRP was described as the hottest crypto trader of the year, ahead of Bitcoin and Ethereum. This comes as the XRP ETFs continue to see inflows even as other crypto funds see outflows. Why The Altcoin Is The Top Trade Over Bitcoin and Ethereum In an X post, Amonyx shared the CNBC video in which XRP was described as the top trade ahead of Bitcoin and Ethereum. The analyst then questioned whether the market was seeing something or about to. CNBC’s Mackenzie Sigalos noted that the token was already gaining a lot of attention towards the end of last year, with investors piling into the XRP ETFs while the spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs saw outflows. Related Reading: What Happens To The XRP Price If It Follows The Amazon Trend And Begins Parabola She further stated that these investors likely saw XRP as a less crowded trade than Bitcoin and Ethereum as crypto prices declined in the fourth quarter of last year. Sigalos added that this trade had paid off, considering that the altcoin recorded a 20% gain at the start of the year. Meanwhile, she also touched on XRP’s use case and why it might be gaining so much attention. The CNBC news host noted that XRP and Solana are the two most popular altcoins right now and that XRP has gained prominence for its utility in cross-border payments. Sigalos also suggested that XRP, alongside Solana, may have an edge over Bitcoin and Ethereum in terms of having more room to rally to the upside. Regarding blockchain adoption, she noted that users and investors may be turning to cheaper, faster networks like Solana over Bitcoin and Ethereum, especially for payments and tokenization. The XRP Ledger is also gaining traction for tokenization, recently surpassing Solana in terms of tokenized value on the network, according to RWA.xyz. XRP ETFs Continue To See Inflows SoSoValue data shows that the XRP ETFs continue to see daily net inflows even as the crypto market wavers. These funds are currently on a five-day streak of consecutive net inflows and have notably only seen six days of outflows since the start of the year. They currently boast net assets of $1.02 billion, which represents 1.20% of XRP’s market cap. Related Reading: Analyst Says XRP’s $15 Target Has Still Not Changed – Here’s Why However, the XRP funds recorded lower inflows than the Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana funds last week. A CoinShares report revealed that the XRP funds saw weekly flows of $1.9 million last week. On the other hand, the BTC, ETH, and SOL funds recorded weekly flows of $881.5 million, $116.9 million, and $53.8 million. At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading at around $1.36, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com
US spot Bitcoin funds saw strong inflows and increasing volumes on Monday as institutional demand held up in spite of increasing Middle East tensions and broader market uncertainty.
Japan’s prime minister says she has no knowledge of or involvement in a Solana-based meme token that briefly reached a $27.7 million market cap before tumbling.
BTC price has slid about 35% on average over a month after similar trend line crossovers, keeping downside risk in focus for traders.
Riot Platforms posted record 2025 revenue of $647 million, driven by $576 million in Bitcoin mining revenue, while holding 18,005 BTC worth $1.6 billion.