r/cryptocurrency Apr 22, 10:11 AM
The stablecoin market tripled from $100B to $300B in one year. Analysts project it could hit $900B by 2030. Stablecoin market cap is currently ~$300 billion. Net annual supply expansion nearly tripled from $100 billion in 2025 to $300 billion in 2026. Even under a conservative 15% annual growth scenario, Tiger Research projects the market exceeding $600 billion by 2030.
What's driving it: the US signed the GENIUS Act in July 2025, the EU enforced MiCA, and Hong Kong enacted its Stablecoin Ordinance. For the first time, three major jurisdictions have formalized regulatory frameworks simultaneously. That's what unlocked institutional entry at scale.
The market remains heavily concentrated. USDT holds roughly 62% market share, and USDC holds about 25%. Together that's 87% of the entire market in two tokens. And the business model behind both is pretty simple: when you deposit $1, the issuer mints 1 stablecoin and puts your dollar into US Treasuries. More coins in circulation means more Treasuries, which means more interest income. It's a scale game, and at $300 billion in combined circulation, the numbers are massive.
That concentration is also why competing head-on is basically impossible for newcomers. You need tens of billions in circulation before reserve interest generates meaningful revenue. The interesting question going forward isn't whether USDT and USDC stay dominant, it's whether the market grows fast enough that even a small slice of $600 billion becomes a real business.
Source: https://www.coingecko.com/learn/stablecoin-issuance-market-tiger-research
submitted by /u/khai0001
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